Archive for the 'Politics' Category

SNP Win in Scottish Parliament Elections. Is hell freezing over somewhere?

Friday, May 4th, 2007

Just had to look out the window to see if there were any pigs flying. Little did I guess that when I sat down to watch the start of the election coverage that I would be awake for over 30 hours now. I tried to sleep but I was just too excited. This one came right down to the last regional vote announced. If I had a heart condition I think I would have been carted away with a coronary by now. I’m pretty stunned by the result. Putting all the ghastly spoiled ballot problems to the side for a moment. Labour lose an election…in Scotland? Jesus. I have to be honest I didn’t think the Nats were going to pull it off. It’s going to take a while to get used to. But who’s going to form our government - that’s still from certain. I think if I was Annabel Goldie of the Conservatives I would be chuckling with glee - they quietly beat the LibDems, noone was expecting that but she’d already said her party wasn’t up for coalition so if parties want Conservative support they’re going to have to say their pleases and thankyous. Sad though to see the smaller parties and independents squeezed out by the SNP/Lab fight. It’s like spinning a roulette wheel, no body know where it’ll stop.

Annoyances trying to get official regional vote counts - think the web editors have buggered off from the council sites Aberdeen City/Highland and Lothian - they’re probably on one hell of an overtime bonus so still some details of names to fill in at Election Scotland.

I’m away to crash out. Tell me I’m not dreaming all this?

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Scottish Parliament Election Results - spoiled ballots

Friday, May 4th, 2007

Story of the night, drama, but not quite what we were hoping for. Very high spoiled ballots and as dawn breaks…so do the electronic systems used to manage the results. Some shocks that the number of spoiled papers in some seats has been bigger than the majority of the win. Real concerns about whether people have been disenfranchised. Personally I also wonder what role literacy played in the chaos, it was a new system, people had to read a set of instructions on the paper. As any geek will tell you, users don’t read instructions, so either people were ignoring them because they didn’t realise anything was different about this election or more worryingly maybe they didn’t have the reading ability to understand what was being asked of them, really high levels of spoiled papers in the most deprived areas like Glasgow Shettleston. (Update: loved Christines: “Bottom of the class” - perspective from a teacher).
Results-wise, it’s not over by a long shot and still too close to call. Most of the Regional results cannot be tallied until all the constituency seats for that region come in. It sounds like most of the spolit papers were *empty* papers being returned, I wonder if people didn’t realise that inspite of the colour difference the parliament ballot papers constituted two different votes, people might have say filled in two boxes on one side of the paper closest matching their intentions and thought they were finished so didn’t need to look at the other side. Also claims of postal ballots not being received and problems consolidating results between the data centres. Representatives of the voting equipment were adamant that there was no technical problem recording and counting the votes at the local centres. Morning after the night before and it’s still too close to call. Labour largely held on in it’s central belt heartlands but lost totemic seats like Glasgow Govan. The regional results will be crucial only Glasgow has declared it’s regional vote so far and the small parties on the left imploded like Solidarity/SSP. No more Tommy Sheridan or Rosie Kane & co, it’ll be a less colourful place.

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Scottish Parliament Results

Friday, May 4th, 2007

Ach, I canny stop masel. I’m posting election results over on the Election Scotland, http://www.electionscotland.co.uk/.

Two results in Labour holds but with big reductions in majorities in Labour heartlands, what’s going to happen in the marginals? It’s going to be an interesting night folks.

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Scottish Parliament result - Wishaw Labour hold

Thursday, May 3rd, 2007

Ist result - Jack McConnell Labour hold Wishaw constituency.

Totals: Lab 1, Con 0, LD 0, SNP 0

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Scottish Parliament Elections 2007

Thursday, May 3rd, 2007

Now the polling stations are closed and the counting should begin in the 2007 Scottish Parliament Elections. I toyed with doing an election night results site but the usual sources of official data haven’t been there this time around so it will be a retrospective analysis instead. Point is it looks like one of the genuinely closest elections in Scotland for over half a century and for the first time in ages there’s a chance that the Labour Party will not be have the largest share of seats in Scotland’s elected govenment. Latest estimates I saw were that the SNP were about 5 points ahead which would give them the lead - but only by a tiny number of seats.

Much to add to the confusion is that this time there were *two* votes taken today Scottish Parliament and Scottish Councils (Local Authorities). Even more so is that there were *three* completely different voting systems being used on the same day. First past the post for parliament constituency seats, Additional Member System for the regional list MSPs and STV for the council vote. I have a great deal of difficulty believing that this is in the best interests of the electorate. Standing in line at the polling station we were fortunate that the two polling station staff took the time to explain the differences to every single person individually so maybe that’s partly to explain why for the first time I can remember I had to queue before getting my ballot papers. A pensioner in front of me looked appreciative at the explanation but still frowned in puzzlement. It’s not good if people are only finding out at the last minute the time of voting. This election has had by far the greatest media attention I can remember in the last couple of decades. For at least a month before polling day there were items every day in radio/TV, opinion polls closely scrutinised by the press, the unfamiliar territory of Labour fighting from behind has added a frisson of excitement. I’m the kind of wierdo that finds election nights exciting anyway but the results this time will be especially intriguing.

Anecdotally one pensioner relative voted for the same party on all three ballots constituency, regional list and council…by adding a single cross…however the council election was uhnder the Single Transferable Vote system where you’re supposed to add numbers next to the candidates names in order of preference 1,2,3 etc. - so will her council vote be a spoilt vote? A steady stream of older folk turning out to vote - is that good news for Labour (old-timers less likely to jump ship to new parties)
Another informal canvassing of younger folk of around 4 twenty-somethings their main votes seemed to be scattered among Labour,LibDems and the Green party…bad news for SNP both now and longer term if the youth aren’t warming to their platform.

Disappointments -

  1. considering how much electronic communications have advanced in recent years I’m pretty startled that they’re not being used more effectively by officialdom, the parties and media have made a much better job of this. I asked the Electoral Commission if they had an official list of candidates - they said sorry no but pointed me to the BBC website! I *really* don’t want the UK to go down the American route of media companies being the only easily accessible information service. What I was really keen to see was who my candidates were in my council election - I couldn’t find this before I went to vote so seeing the ballot paper was the first time I knew who I might be voting for. Yes there were ‘election communications’ but it was mostly the larger parties that took advantage of that leaving the smaller parties/independents less well documented.
  2. Local authority websites. I give them alot of kudos for mostly having election pages with council/other info reasonably well signposted on their sites (there are a few exceptions) but what I find difficult is the inconsistency with which details are reported between authorities. Some plain HTML others PDF, some list full details of candidates others just a name and party. Surely there should a common set of fields of data,formats that are mandatorily released?
  3. Talking of STV. Shockaroony. Scottish Television having had great and more light-hearted coverage in the run up to the election aren’t going to be providing any actual results service on the night other than in news bulletins leaving the field clear for BBC Scotland to be the sole analysis and results service as the results come in. Again this doesn’t seem healthy. Not that I have anything against the BBC it’s just again the principle of only having one source of information/presentation, there are subtle biases in each, a plurality helps balance these out.

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Hilary ascending Everest?

Monday, January 22nd, 2007

Pleased to see Hilary Rodham Clinton throwing her hat or is it bunnet into the ring for the race for Democratic presidential candidate in the United States. If someone like Hillary with all her insider experience doesn’t give it a go, who the hell will? I’ve seen some English press describe her as a potential “American Mrs. Thatcher”. Dear God No! Wouldn’t wish that on my worst enemy. If anyone thinks that by voting for a woman you’ll get a kinder, gentler brand of politics you may be in for a shock. It’s a bruising game politics, “showbiz for ugly people”, internal party politics tend to make a virtue of backstabbing and taking advantage of any faux pas by your peers to climb a very greasy pole indeed. To get to the top you need a skin of asbestos, oh and truckloads of money. I think Hilary may benefit from the support of a lot of women who still haven’t quite forgiven Bill Clinton for “not having sex with that woman”, cough. Many at the time thought that Hilary conducted herself with admirable strength of character in public despite this crushing episode in her private life and it may be this that strikes a chord in female voters memories and sympathy rather than any high and mighty policy stance. Will the US campaign be about issues or character? The Democrats don’t need another Kerry, worthy but dull. The president is a different role. Charisma is compulsory, and as George W has shown, brains are optional.

Given how many “dirty tricks” there have been known to be pulled in negative advertising/campaigning in politics with the battleground moving away from TV/Radio/Press to the internet will we start to see electronic versions of skulduggery? What if a candidate using the web for fund raising for a campaign just so happened to have a DoS attack on their website whilst their opponents stayed up? Or with a lot of sites moving to Open Source content management systems and blogs it would only take one security patch to be missed for any nefarious opposition to take advantage. Beef up your security teams and for any presidential candidates buying a one year domain name from GoDaddy you have switched on the auto-renew haven’t you? Don’t want your virtual branding to be expiring next year, do you? Barack Obama’s in it for the long haul, his domain’s secured until 28-Dec-2015, you can’t say he’s not planning ahead :-)

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The Act of Union. 1707 tae noo - three hunner years o it. Tricentenary? I’ll tricencentary ye

Tuesday, January 16th, 2007

Well get the flags out, fetch the war time bunting. Let’s celebrate the 300th anniversary of The Act of Union. What? No parade? No parties? No well, really nothing past the odd, and I do mean odd, quasi documentary about it on the telly. Only a newly minted coin, ironic since the AoU was largely brought about over finances. Ho hum. Anything to celebrate? After three hundred years of a marriage of convenience who can blame us for the apathetic weariness about our aged, coupled bones?

Disclosure: every election I’ve ever been eligible for bar one tactical vote that pained me has had me vote for various parties/individuals that support a platform of Independence for Scotland. It’s the only issue I cast my vote for. I truly don’t believe Scotland can ever really flourish properly without sole control over its affairs. I wish we could take a tip from all the wee countries in Eastern Europe that in the last few decades have rediscovered their own sense of identity and culture and entrepreneurialism after their liberation from rule by remote powers. Might take a while and Christ knows there’d be pain to go through but it is possible to throw off the shackles and stand on our own two feet.

I happen to think devolution is great and for its time is a highly pragmatic and sensible measure, I’m not actually critical of that, I think there’s a great deal been achieved with this arrangement, just a pity that the populace has long since stopped trusting politicians to the extent that even good things pass without generating much appreciation. And so much is woefully under reported or shunted on to minority media channels unseen/unheard. Main bulletins tend to only latch on to Executive and First minister stuff but true democracy in action has actually materialised more through the committee system in the Parliament rather than just the floor of the debating chamber. When people are ‘bored’ by politics we need to start ringing alarm bells before we sound death knells for democracy. Wake up! It’s a pity the controversy over the fabric of the building of the Scottish Parliament has been of more public concern than what’s been happening inside. The petitions committee in particular, quietly gets on with letting individuals and organisations have a direct line into the legislative process. You can see how appeals and ‘taking evidence’ from civic society has lead to redrafting of bills in ways that just fit better with the existing infrastructure. These ‘tweaks’ don’t get much press though. Under devolution there’s been time to really look at what kind of legislation our country needs and deal with our different local authority structure. Do folk really need to be reminded of how little legislative time for Scotland there was pre-devolution? It used to be a Bill for UK then if we were lucky a few pages tacked on the end as an after-thought even when the whole of the concept of law in progress was wrong. Poll tax anyone? A country with significant challenges of geography does not always have the same needs as our flatter, more urban cousins south of the border. How much more could we do with full fiscal autonomy?

My main want for independence would be for us to remove the obscene presence of a nuclear ‘deterrent’ hosted less than an hour away from where I live. Hollow laughter from me I’m afraid when Bush/Blair tried the scare tactics during the pre-amble to Iraq II of “Oh, he’s (the bad man Saddam) got a bomb…a weapon of mass destruction”. Yeah well so do we…on our fucking doorstep and we pay taxes for this affront to humanity. Why doesn’t George Bush carpet bomb us then? The amount of money spent on weapons whose sole aim is to kill people (defence ma erse) is something truly disgusting. What could our country do if such hateful vanity was disposed of and we concentrated on putting the lives of human beings first.

Try and have a listen to a wonderful session from the Edinburgh University A Puzzle from the Past: Why the Scottish Enlightenment Happened ” with the brilliant Professor Tom Devine and including the ever-articulate Joyce McMillian (herself a member of the panel that blueprinted the structure of how the parliament would be structured and what procedures would be used). How could such a wee country like ourselves have such a disproportionate effect on economics and politics all those years ago. Why have we lost our self-confidence through the years? Where’s the collective intelligence to think for ourselves gone?

If Scots want independence we’ll get it, it’s as simple as that. England is not the enemy. Apathy and indifference is.

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